Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 0-3 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
10.2% (![]() | 16.26% (![]() | 73.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.64% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.24% (![]() | 37.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.99% (![]() | 60.01% (![]() |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.46% (![]() | 45.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.64% (![]() | 81.36% (![]() |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.15% (![]() | 8.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.69% (![]() | 30.32% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 3.17% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.8% Total : 10.2% | 1-1 @ 7.69% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.26% | 0-2 @ 11.84% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.78% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.53% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 4.19% Total : 73.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 71 |
2 | Napoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 65 |
3 | Juventus | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 59 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 58 |
5 | Bologna | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
6 | Lazio | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 55 |
7 | Roma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Fiorentina | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 52 |
9 | AC Milan | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 40 |
11 | Udinese | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 40 |
12 | Genoa | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 38 |
13 | Como | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 31 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 30 |
16 | Parma | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 27 |
17 | Lecce | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 26 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 24 |
19 | Empoli | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 24 |
20 | Monza | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |