| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Cagliari |
| 44.97% ( | 26.15% ( | 28.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.19% ( | 52.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% ( | 74.43% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( | 23.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.61% ( | 57.39% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( | 32.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.44% ( | 69.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 4-0 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 11 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Udinese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Roma | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Torino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Inter Milan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Salernitana | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | SpeziaSpezia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Empoli | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Lecce | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 2 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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