The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
We said: Salernitana 1-1 Venezia
Salernitana's record against Venezia in recent years makes for positive reading, but goals have been at a premium for the league's basement side and will likely be in short supply again once more. While we do expect the hosts to finally end their long wait for a goal, Venezia have been a tough nut to crack away from home and will expect to earn at least a point on Thursday, if not all three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Venezia |
| 47.91% | 26.29% | 25.8% |
| Both teams to score 48.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
