Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.