National League North | Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton0 - 2Chorley
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kettering 1-3 Alfreton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Kidderminster Harriers | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Alfreton Town | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Fylde | 5 | -1 | 9 |
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Leamington FC | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Chorley | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 5 | -1 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Chorley |
27.83% ( 0.2) | 27.19% ( -0.04) | 44.98% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.66% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
