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Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
MK Dons

Cheltenham
0 - 1
MK Dons


Jude-Boyd (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanders (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 MK Dons

Neither side have been in the strongest form ahead of this weekend, but MK Dons struggled for months under their former boss and have continued that trend with their current interim manager. On the other hand, Cheltenham will see this match as an opportunity to make up the ground on the playoff spots that they lost in recent weeks, so expect a win for the hosts on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawMK Dons
38.26% (0.177 0.18) 25.58% (0.02 0.02) 36.16% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)48.31% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.093 -0.09)70.46% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.049000000000007 0.05)24.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (0.070999999999998 0.07)59.37% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.16 -0.16)25.96% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (-0.217 -0.22)60.97% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 38.26%
    MK Dons 36.16%
    Draw 25.57%
Cheltenham TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.26% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 38.26%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 36.16%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs MK Dons

Cheltenham Town
66.7%
Draw
21.2%
MK Dons
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
MK Dons
3-2
Cheltenham
Gilbey (22'), Harrison (75'), Maguire (86')
Thompson-Sommers (34')
Young (6'), Miller (13')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
MK Dons
2-2
Cheltenham
Eisa (45+2', 59' pen.)
Bonds (12'), May (90+7')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
MK Dons
1-2
Cheltenham
Jules (43')
Oyegoke (7'), Gyamfi (17')
May (8' pen.), Brown (54')
Raglan (12'), Horton (33'), Barkers (42')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
Boyle (89')
May (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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