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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | MK Dons |
38.26% (![]() | 25.58% (![]() | 36.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.69% (![]() | 48.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.54% (![]() | 70.46% (![]() |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% (![]() | 24.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% (![]() | 59.37% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.04% (![]() | 25.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.03% (![]() | 60.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 8.98% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.44% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 12.1% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.68% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 3.37% Total : 36.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 69 | 48 | 21 | 78 |
2 | Port Vale | 44 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 77 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 75 |
4 | Walsall | 44 | 20 | 14 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 74 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 70 |
6 | Notts County | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64 | 46 | 18 | 69 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 67 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 66 |
9 | Salford City | 44 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 65 |
10 | Chesterfield | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 64 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 62 |
12 | Bromley | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 58 | 56 | 2 | 62 |
13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 70 | 62 | 8 | 60 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 57 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 57 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 57 |
17 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 54 |
18 | MK Dons | 44 | 14 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 50 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 50 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 49 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 47 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 45 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 41 |
24 | Morecambe | 44 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |