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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 14.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.38%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
14.02% (![]() | 15.87% (![]() | 70.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.2% (![]() | 24.8% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.34% (![]() | 44.66% (![]() |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% (![]() | 30.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.28% (![]() | 66.72% (![]() |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.58% (![]() | 6.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.96% (![]() | 24.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 3.79% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 14.02% | 1-1 @ 6.38% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 0.44% Total : 15.87% | 1-2 @ 8.76% (![]() 1-3 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 4.42% Total : 70.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |