Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg3 - 2Hoffenheim
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Mainz
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Freiburg 1-1 Hoffenheim
Freiburg's form is concerning, as is their defensive frailty, and it is hard to see them keeping Hoffenheim at bay. While the visitors have not been particularly strong at the back, they could take advantage of their hosts' struggles and come away from Europa-Park Stadion with at least a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
52.2% ( -0.39) | 22.5% ( -0.06) | 25.3% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 60.44% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
