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Heidenheim
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Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Hoffenheim logo

St Pauli
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stach (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 St Pauli
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, March 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: St Pauli 1-2 Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim have been excellent away from home, and they will believe they can cause their hosts numerous issues during counter-attacks. St Pauli's home form has been subpar, and they have struggled in the final third in the past weeks, so the visitors should come into Friday's match as favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
St PauliDrawHoffenheim
43.68% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 25.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.26% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.17% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.010000000000002 0.01)69.4% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39%21.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)54.7% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.012 0.01)28.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.17% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 43.68%
    Hoffenheim 31.26%
    Draw 25.06%
St PauliDrawHoffenheim
1-0 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.72%
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Hoffenheim

St Pauli
30.2%
Draw
17.7%
Hoffenheim
52.1%
96
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Hoffenheim
0-2
St Pauli
Afolayan (20'), Albers (90+4')
Guilavogui (64'), Blessin (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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