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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Union Berlin logo

Hoffenheim
0 - 4
Union Berlin


Bulter (2'), Geiger (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hollerbach (24', 87'), Ljubicic (61'), Ilic (73')
Trimmel (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
44.65% (0.064 0.06)25.06% (-0.067 -0.07)30.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.65% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (0.299 0.3)47.57% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (0.276 0.28)69.77% (-0.271 -0.27)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.154 0.15)21.33% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (0.236 0.24)54.28% (-0.232 -0.23)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.155 0.16)29.27% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.189 0.19)65.23% (-0.185 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 44.65%
    Union Berlin 30.3%
    Draw 25.06%
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 44.65%
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.3%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin

Hoffenheim
74.4%
Draw
15.4%
Union Berlin
10.3%
39
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Rothe (4'), Woo-yeong (6')
Siebatcheu (23'), Vertessen (85'), Rothe (89')
Bulter (67')
Kaderabek (50'), Bischof (79'), Tohumcu (89')
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
0-1
Union Berlin

Nsoki (45'), Kaderabek (86')
Nsoki (45+4')
Aaronson (84')
Volland (45'), Doekhi (45+9'), Leite (89')
Volland (45+6')
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
0-2
Hoffenheim

Tousart (72')
Kramaric (22' pen.), Beier (38')
Kramaric (45+4'), Stach (54'), Ole Becker (89')
May 20, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
4-2
Union Berlin
Bebou (22'), Kramaric (36' pen., 90'), Dabour (90+9')
Promel (81'), Kramaric (90+1'), Stiller (90+8'), Dabour (90+8')
Doekhi (45+4'), Laidouni (90+5')
Leite (35'), Haberer (39'), Baumgartl (79'), Roussillon (86'), Becker (87')
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Union Berlin
3-1
Hoffenheim
Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Bebou (43')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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