Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Augsburg
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 Mainz
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Union Berlin 0-2 Mainz 05
It is difficult to overlook the impressive form of the visitors despite their defeat last time out, and they should be confident of victory. Union have struggled in the final third this season, and it would not be surprising if Mainz managed to keep their hosts at bay on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
45.48% ( 0.7) | 25.86% ( 0.03) | 28.65% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
