Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 8, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
4 - 3
Mainz

El Amine Amoura (19'), Tomas (57'), Wind (84', 90+4')
Baku (21'), Arnold (22'), Tomas (68')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Nebel (11', 66'), Burkardt (39')
Henriksen (27'), Amiri (43'), Jae-sung (45+2'), Kohr (56'), Leitsch (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, December 4 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, December 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
41.05% ( -0.12)	25.1% ( -0.02)	33.85% ( 0.15)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table

Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.05%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 33.85%

Bundesliga

Wolfsburg4 - 3Mainz

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

Mainz 05

Data Analysis

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Mainz

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Wolfsburg
4 - 3
Mainz