
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Wolfsburg | 
| 45.03% (  -0.24) | 23.36% (  -0.02) | 31.61% (  0.26) | 
| Both teams to score 62.29% (  0.2) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.84% (  0.2) | 39.16% (  -0.2) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.51% (  0.21) | 61.48% (  -0.21) | 
| St Pauli Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.25% (  -0.02) | 17.75% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.56% (  -0.03) | 48.44% (  0.03) | 
| Wolfsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.73% (  0.26) | 24.27% (  -0.26) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.37% (  0.36) | 58.63% (  -0.36) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| St Pauli | Draw | Wolfsburg | 
| 2-1 @ 9.12% (  -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.45% (  -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.44% (  -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.25% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.72% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 3.71% (  -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.27% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.6% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.87% Total : 45.03% | 1-1 @ 10.54% (  -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 4.31% (  -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.76% (  0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 7.47% (  0.04) 0-1 @ 6.1% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.32% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 3.52% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 3.05% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 2.04% (  0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% (  0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% (  0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.61% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
