Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
0 - 3
St Pauli

Ginter (35'), Kubler (44'), Hofler (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Saad (12', 72'), Afolayan (45')
Eggestein (53'), Saliakas (63'), Banks (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

St Pauli

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 22 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	St Pauli
33.12% ( -0.01)	24.56% ( 0.13)	42.32% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 58.6% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.74% (

-0.63)

44.26% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.36% (

-0.61)

66.63% (

0.61)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

-0.31)

25.82% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21% (

-0.42)

60.79% (

0.41)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79% (

-0.33)

21% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23% (

-0.51)

53.77% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 33.12%

St Pauli 42.32%

Draw 24.55%

Freiburg	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 7.76% 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.12%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.55%	1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.32%

How you voted: Freiburg vs St Pauli

Freiburg

93.8%

Draw

3.1%

St Pauli

3.1%

Head to Head

Oct 19, 2022 5pm

Second Round

Freiburg

2-1

St Pauli

Ginter (90+3'), Gregoritsch (119')

Daschner (42')

> Preview

Form Guide

Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg

Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum

Bayern 2-0 Freiburg

Freiburg 3-1 Stuttgart

Osnabruck 0-4 Freiburg

Strasbourg 2-2 Freiburg

St Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig

Augsburg 3-1 St Pauli

Union Berlin 1-0 St Pauli

St Pauli 0-2 Heidenheim

Hallescher 2-3 St Pauli

St Pauli 3-0 Atalanta

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table