MX23RW : Saturday, August 17 22:52:45| >> :120:12581:12581:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Mirco Aghetoni
Freiburg logo

Osnabruck
0 - 4
Freiburg


Gyamfi (65'), Semic (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Holer (30'), Grifo (34'), Adamu (73', 90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between VfL Osnabruck and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osnabruck 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, May 19 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 3 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: VfL Osnabruck 1-3 Freiburg

While Osnabruck have struggled for goals in competitive matches, Freiburg's leaky pre-season rearguard should gift the third-tier side a goal on Saturday. However, the Bundesliga outfit are not expected to suffer a first-round exit, and we are backing them to notch a victory in Lower Saxony. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Freiburg win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for VfL Osnabruck has a probability of 37.28% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win is 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.24%).

Result
VfL OsnabruckDrawFreiburg
37.28% (0.219 0.22) 24.35% (-0.167 -0.17) 38.37% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.14% (0.627 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.41% (0.806 0.81)42.59% (-0.802 -0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.01% (0.8 0.8)64.99% (-0.795 -0.8)
VfL Osnabruck Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (0.47799999999999 0.48)22.73% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.6% (0.703 0.7)56.4% (-0.699 -0.7)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.33199999999999 0.33)22.17% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (0.498 0.5)55.57% (-0.496 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    VfL Osnabruck 37.28%
    Freiburg 38.37%
    Draw 24.35%
VfL OsnabruckDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.28%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.077 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.72% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 38.37%

How you voted: Osnabruck vs Freiburg

VfL Osnabruck
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Freiburg
100%
8
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Osnabruck
2-2
Freiburg
(Aggregate 2-2 | Freiburg win 3-2 on penalties)
Gugganig (90+7'), Klaas (108')
Kohler (53'), Simakala (86'), Kleinhansl (90+3'), Gugganig (115'), Kuhn (126')
Simakala (117')
Grifo (33'), Schlotterbeck (120')
Eggestein (34'), Kubler (76'), Gunter (86'), Grifo (90+4'), Schade (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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