Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorleston win with a probability of 60.34%. A win for Mulbarton Wanderers had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gorleston win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Mulbarton Wanderers win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gorleston would win this match.
