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FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
PMC Stadium

Baffins Milton Rovers
2 - 1
Shepton Mallet

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Baffins Milton Rovers and Shepton Mallet.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baffins Milton Rovers win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Shepton Mallet had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baffins Milton Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Shepton Mallet win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Baffins Milton Rovers in this match.

Result
Baffins Milton RoversDrawShepton Mallet
66.1%17.88%16.01%
Both teams to score 61.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.37%30.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.05%51.94%
Baffins Milton Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.31%8.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.1%29.89%
Shepton Mallet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88%32.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41%68.59%
Score Analysis
    Baffins Milton Rovers 66.1%
    Shepton Mallet 16.01%
    Draw 17.88%
Baffins Milton RoversDrawShepton Mallet
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 7.71%
1-0 @ 6.81%
3-0 @ 6.78%
4-1 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 4.15%
4-2 @ 2.67%
5-1 @ 2.3%
5-0 @ 2.03%
5-2 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 1.01%
6-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 66.1%
1-1 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 2.79%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.88%
1-2 @ 4.4%
0-1 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-2 @ 1.8%
1-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 16.01%

rhs 2.0
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