FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
PMC Stadium
Baffins Milton Rovers2 - 1Shepton Mallet
FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Baffins Milton Rovers and Shepton Mallet.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baffins Milton Rovers win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Shepton Mallet had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baffins Milton Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Shepton Mallet win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Baffins Milton Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Baffins Milton Rovers | Draw | Shepton Mallet |
| 66.1% | 17.88% | 16.01% |
| Both teams to score 61.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.37% | 30.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.05% | 51.94% |
| Baffins Milton Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.31% | 8.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.1% | 29.89% |
| Shepton Mallet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.88% | 32.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.41% | 68.59% |
| Score Analysis |
Baffins Milton Rovers 66.1%
Shepton Mallet 16.01%
Draw 17.88%
| Baffins Milton Rovers | Draw | Shepton Mallet |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.33% 3-1 @ 7.71% 1-0 @ 6.81% 3-0 @ 6.78% 4-1 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 4.38% 4-0 @ 4.15% 4-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 2.3% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-2 @ 1.31% 4-3 @ 1.01% 6-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.53% Total : 66.1% | 1-1 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 2.79% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.88% | 1-2 @ 4.4% 0-1 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-2 @ 1.8% 1-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.96% Total : 16.01% |
