

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 80.1%. A draw has a probability of 12.5% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 7.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 1-2 (2.3%).
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 80.1% ( | 12.48% ( | 7.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.8% ( | 28.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.01% ( | 48.99% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.57% ( | 5.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 78.75% ( | 21.25% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.38% ( | 44.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.38% ( | 80.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 3-0 @ 9.98% ( 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 3-1 @ 8.06% ( 4-0 @ 7.27% ( 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 4-1 @ 5.87% ( 5-0 @ 4.24% ( 5-1 @ 3.42% ( 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 6-0 @ 2.06% ( 6-1 @ 1.66% ( 5-2 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 4.91% Total : 80.09% | 1-1 @ 5.7% ( 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0-0 @ 2.42% ( Other @ 1.02% Total : 12.48% | 1-2 @ 2.3% ( 0-1 @ 1.96% ( 2-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 7.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | BoavistaBoavista | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | AVS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | AroucaArouca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
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