We said: Benfica 2-1 Brentford
While both sides remain weakened by international call-ups and summer holidays, Brentford may feel that the depleted Benfica defence is there for the taking, especially after the weekend's five-goal showing.
The Portuguese side have also been on the attacking warpath this summer, though, and we still expect Schmidt's men to edge a closely-fought battle, albeit without a clean sheet to show for their efforts.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw has a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brentford has a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.04%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Brentford win it is 1-2 (4.26%).