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Europa League

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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Cercle Brugge

Watson (70')
Lyons (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olaigbe (55')
Somers (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Kilmarnock and Cercle Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-0 Barrow
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Cercle Brugge

All competitions
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Cercle Brugge
Saturday, July 20 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawCercle Brugge
33.81% (-3.713 -3.71)25.12% (-0.106 -0.11)41.08% (3.822 3.82)
Both teams to score 56.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.069000000000003 0.07)46.61% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.066000000000003 0.07)68.88% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (-2.086 -2.09)26.54% (2.088 2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (-2.854 -2.85)61.74% (2.855 2.86)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (2.001 2)22.59% (-2.001 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (2.89 2.89)56.2% (-2.889 -2.89)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 33.81%
    Cercle Brugge 41.08%
    Draw 25.11%
KilmarnockDrawCercle Brugge
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.516 -0.52)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.519 -0.52)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.689 -0.69)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.458 -0.46)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.468 -0.47)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.232 -0.23)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.81%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 8.92% (0.484 0.48)
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.468 0.47)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.718 0.72)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.467 0.47)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.523 0.52)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.15 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.257 0.26)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.253 0.25)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.08%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Cercle Brugge

Kilmarnock
30.6%
Draw
26.4%
Cercle Brugge
43.1%
72
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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