Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Stjarnan had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.23%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Stjarnan win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.