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Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
May 31, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Sao Paulo

Bahia
vs.
Sao Paulo

Preview: Bahia vs. Sao Paulo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Reuniting with the side he scored an astonishing 129 goals for as a goalkeeper, Bahia manager Rogerio Ceni hosts Sao Paulo at the Arena Fonte Nova in Saturday's Brasileiro battle.

Tricolor have mistakes to rectify following back-to-back defeats in league and continental action, while their visitors seek a fourth win from five in all competitions.


Match preview

Bahia manager Rogerio Ceni pictured on May 5, 2023© Imago

One of Sao Paulo's all-time greats now attempts to weaken his former club's continental credentials, as 52-year-old Ceni - who also enjoyed two separate stints as Sao Paulo head coach - endeavours to keep Bahia above his erstwhile employers in the Brasileiro table.

Taking 50% of points on offer from 10 matches this season, Bahia's respectable tally of 15 has the Tricolor positioned in seventh place in the standings, three points ahead of their visitors outside the continental spots and only behind Ceara - who hold the final Copa Libertadores qualifying place - on goal difference.

Losing just one of their first seven matches allowed Bahia to make an early play for the top six, but Ceni's side have now hit a rough patch with two defeats from their last three Brasileiro contests, both 1-0 away to Flamengo and Gremio.

The hosts also experienced more continental disappointment on Wednesday with a 2-1 reverse to Internacional in their final Copa Libertadores group match, their third straight defeat in the competition and one that saw them miss out on a knockout place.

However, Bahia's continental journey will continue in the Copa Sudamericana thanks to their third-placed finish in Group F, and home is where the heart is for Ceni's men, who have triumphed in five of their last six matches in all competitions at Arena Fonte Nova.

Sao Paulo manager Luis Zubeldia pictured on September 1, 2024© Imago

While Bahia have been condemned to Copa Sudamericana football for the remainder of the campaign, Sao Paulo progressed to the Copa Libertadores knockout rounds unblemished, taking down Argentinian outfit Talleres in midweek to preserve their unbeaten record.

Strikes from Sabino and Luciano either side of a Federico Girotti response launched Luis Zubeldia's men to a 2-1 triumph on home turf, one that moved them onto a praiseworthy 14 points from six matches in Group D, where they won four and drew two of their contests.

Continental football has been a welcome distraction for Sao Paulo of late, as Saturday's visitors currently find themselves outside the coveted top 12 places in the Brazilian Serie A table, having only won two of their opening 10 matches of the campaign.

Sao Paulo's propensity to draw matches has been their downfall - they have played out six Brasileiro stalemates in 2025 already, more than any other team - but a surprise 2-0 home defeat to Mirassol on May 24 did not help their cause either.

Zubeldia's men have now failed to find the back of the net in three of their last four matches in league action, but they can take solace from a three-game winning run against Bahia, who have won just one of the last nine contests between the two sides.

Bahia Brasileiro form:


Bahia form (all competitions):


Sao Paulo Brasileiro form:


Sao Paulo form (all competitions):


Team News

Lucas Moura of Sao Paulo pictured on April 13, 2025© Imago

Sent off just five minutes into Bahia's recent clash with Vitoria, midfielder Jean Lucas - formerly of Ligue 1 giants Lyon and Monaco - has served his suspension and is back at Ceni's disposal.

With Lucas back in the fold, Bahia should only be missing three injury victims in Kanu (muscle), Andre Dhominique (ACL) and Erick (hamstring), and changes may be afoot given their good availability.

Among the players pushing for inclusion in the first XI will be Manchester City-owned attacker Kayky, who went back to his homeland in February following an unsuccessful spell in the Eredivisie with Sparta Rotterdam.

On the other side of the coin, Sao Paulo head coach Zubeldia is working around a fitness crisis with no fewer than 10 players out injured, including recognisable names in Lucas Moura (knee), Oscar (thigh), Cedric Soares (calf) and midfield veteran Luis Gustavo (lung).

Ruan (knee), Marcos Antonio (hamstring), Igor Vinicius (back), Ferreirinha (foot), Lucca (ankle) and Jonathan Calleri (ACL) are also in the care of the doctors, and Zubeldia has been hit with a double disciplinary blow too.

Indeed, striker Andre Silva and midfielder Alisson collected their third bookings of the Brasileiro season in the defeat to Mirassol, meaning both men must serve suspensions here.


Bahia possible starting lineup:
Felipe; Arias, Duarte, Mingo, Iago; Lucas, Alexandre, Araujo; Kayky, Pulga; Rodriguez

Sao Paulo possible starting lineup:
Rafael; Ferraresi, Franco, Sabino, Wendell; Ferreira, Maia, Bobadilla, Diaz; Alves; Luciano


SM words green background

We say: Bahia 1-1 Sao Paulo

Not since February 1 have Bahia been shut out on home soil - Ceni's men have scored in 17 straight matches on their own patch since - and that streak will surely continue against a depleted Sao Paulo.

However, with the hosts going through a rut and the visitors developing an affinity for a stalemate, a low-scoring draw is the only outcome we can envisage, especially after both sides' energy-zapping Libertadores exertions.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


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Written by
Ben Knapton

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Data Failed

Who will win Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Sao Paulo?

Bahia
Draw
Sao Paulo
Bahia
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sao Paulo
0.0%
4
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4BragantinoBragantino10622128420
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6CearaCeara9432117415
7Bahia10433910-115
8Corinthians104241214-214
9Mirassol103521612414
10Atletico Mineiro103521010014
11Botafogo9333105512
12Gremio10334914-512
13Sao Paulo1026289-112
14InternacionalInternacional102531214-211
15Vasco da GamaVasco103161113-210
16FortalezaFortaleza102441010010
17Vitoria102351014-49
18SantosSantos10226811-38
19JuventudeJuventude10226822-148
20Sport RecifeSport10037517-123


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