MX23RW : Thursday, July 25 22:03:42| >> :60:321:321:
European Under-19s Championship | World Cup Playoff
Jul 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Seaview

Norway U19s
1 - 1
Turkey U19s

Holten (16')
Fauske Helland (53'), Holten (122')
FT
(aet)
Vural (81')
Holten (39'), Yilmaz (77'), Eren Arikan (86')
Norway U19s win 10-9 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-19s Championship clash between Norway Under-19s and Turkey Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Norway U19s 2-0 N. Ireland U19s
Sunday, July 21 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Turkey U19s 3-3 Denmark U19s
Monday, July 22 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship

We say: Norway Under-19s 1-1 Turkey Under-19s (Turkey to win on penalties)

While Turkey proved the more potent attacking force in the group stage with five efforts compared to Norway's three, Basar's men conceded three times as many goals at the Scandinavians, who only let in two strikes in 270 minutes. Calling an outright winner in this fixture is incredibly difficult, and penalties may very well be needed to decide both teams' World Cup destiny. Given Turkey's more ruthless attacking edge in the group stage, they have our vote to punch their ticket to the 2025 tournament in Chile. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norway Under-19s win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Turkey Under-19s has a probability of 28.76% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway Under-19s win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Turkey Under-19s win is 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.03%).

Result
Norway Under-19sDrawTurkey Under-19s
45.9%25.34%28.76%
Both teams to score 53.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46%49.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43%71.57%
Norway Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41%21.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32%54.68%
Turkey Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63%31.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27%67.73%
Score Analysis
    Norway Under-19s 45.89%
    Turkey Under-19s 28.76%
    Draw 25.33%
Norway Under-19sDrawTurkey Under-19s
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.89%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.85%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.76%

How you voted: Norway U19s vs Turkey U19s

Norway Under-19s
71.4%
Turkey Under-19s
28.6%
7
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