European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 15, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Seaview

Italy U19s
2 - 1
Norway U19s

Di Maggio (44'), Zeroli (51')
Anghele (80'), Camarda (87'), Harder (89'), Bellucci Marin (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Braut (35')
Braut (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Under-19s Championship clash between Italy Under-19s and Norway Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Under-19s

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal U19s 0-1 Italy U19s
Sunday, July 16 at 8pm in European Under-19s Championship

Norway Under-19s

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal U19s 5-0 Norway U19s
Thursday, July 13 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Norway Under-19s had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Norway Under-19s win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-19s would win this match.

Result
Italy Under-19sDrawNorway Under-19s
71.65% (0.699 0.7)16.53% (-0.208 -0.21)11.83% (-0.488 -0.49)
Both teams to score 54.79% (-0.879 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.84% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)34.16% (0.332 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.96% (-0.373 -0.37)56.04% (0.377 0.38)
Italy Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.62% (0.073000000000008 0.07)8.38% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.84% (0.172 0.17)29.16% (-0.17 -0.17)
Norway Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.8% (-1.005 -1.01)40.2% (1.008 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16% (-0.928 -0.93)76.84% (0.932 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Italy Under-19s 71.65%
    Norway Under-19s 11.83%
    Draw 16.53%
Italy Under-19sDrawNorway Under-19s
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.56% (0.229 0.23)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 5.3% (0.159 0.16)
4-1 @ 4.83% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.63% (0.087 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.4% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.09% (0.04 0.04)
6-1 @ 0.99% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 71.65%
1-1 @ 7.61% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-0 @ 3.37% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 16.53%
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-1 @ 3.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 11.83%

How you voted: Italy U19s vs Norway U19s

Italy Under-19s
85.2%
Draw
11.1%
Norway Under-19s
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2018 4.30pm
Group Stage
Italy U19s
1-1
Norway U19s
Kean (83')
Zaniolo (4'), Scamacca (38'), Gabbia (61'), Zanandrea (65'), Tonali (86')
Haaland (62' pen.)
Haland (9'), Vetlesen (49')