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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
3 - 1
Silkeborg

Andre Kaasa (2'), Wolff Eikrem (45+1'), Eriksen (49')
Sonne (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rasmussen (35')
Adamsen (50'), Rasmussen (73'), Hagelskjaer (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Molde and Silkeborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 2-3 KFUM
Saturday, July 20 at 7.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Silkeborg 1-0 SonderjyskE
Sunday, July 21 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 59.57%. A win for Silkeborg had a probability of 20.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Silkeborg win was 1-2 (5.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawSilkeborg
59.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.18%20.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 61.89% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)56.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.62% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)11.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Silkeborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.0010000000000048 0)66.32% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Molde 59.57%
    Silkeborg 20.25%
    Draw 20.18%
MoldeDrawSilkeborg
2-1 @ 9.72%
2-0 @ 8.11%
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.87%
3-2 @ 4.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.19%
4-2 @ 2.29%
5-1 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1% (0.001 0)
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 59.57%
1-1 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 3.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.18%
1-2 @ 5.36%
0-1 @ 4.11%
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 20.25%

How you voted: Molde vs Silkeborg

Molde
82.4%
Draw
9.4%
Silkeborg
8.2%
85