Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
2 - 4
Newcastle

Janelt (48'), Wissa (70')
Toney (44'), Jensen (45+5'), Wissa (51'), Maupay (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Barnes (21'), Murphy (36'), Isak (38'), Guimaraes (77')
Joelinton (28'), Burn (53'), Krafth (66'), Pope (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United secure seventh spot in the Premier League table courtesy of a 4-2 win over Brentford on the final matchday of the 2023-24 campaign.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Newcastle
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Newcastle United
37.42% ( -1.16)	23.67% ( 0.15)	38.9% ( 1)

Both teams to score 62.72% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.76% (

-0.78)

39.24% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.43% (

-0.82)

61.57% (

0.82)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84% (

-0.9)

21.16% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.98% (

-1.42)

54.01% (

1.42)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.56% (

0.14)

20.44% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

0.22)

52.89% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Brentford 37.42%

Newcastle United 38.9%

Draw 23.67%

Brentford	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.42%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.98% Total : 38.9%