Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Newcastle
5 - 1
Brentford
Reaction
Newcastle United into fifth with impressive victory over Brentford
Newcastle United move into fifth position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 5-1 victory over Brentford.
Oct 8, 17:00
Thomas Frank "fuming" after Brentford concede five at Newcastle United
Head coach Thomas Frank says that he is "fuming" after his Brentford side succumbed to a 5-1 defeat at Newcastle United on Saturday evening.
Oct 8, 18:35
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fulham 1-4 Newcastle
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-0 Brentford
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League
We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Brentford
The last five meetings between these two sides at St James' Park have seen a total of 24 goals scored at an average of 4.8 per match, and there could be plenty more goalmouth action in the North East this weekend. Both Newcastle and Brentford will fancy their chances of success, but we can see the hosts following up last weekend's victory with another three points on Saturday in front of their own fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Brentford |
46.52% ( 0.61) | 25.59% ( -0.13) | 27.88% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
