Each side have earned a convincing victory against a Big Six club this season, with the Bees blanking Man United 4-0, while the Peacocks dropped Chelsea 3-0.
More often than not, though, neither team have been able to put away matches when given the opportunity, so we expect a low-scoring affair between two clubs who have been resilient through the early portion of the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.2) 
