Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 0
Brentford

Gueye (60')
Tarkowski (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reguilon (43'), Mbeumo (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Everton confirm their Premier League survival with a 1-0 win over Brentford, who succumb to an Idrissa Gueye effort at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Last Game: Everton 2-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-5 Brentford
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Everton.

Result
Everton	Draw	Brentford
43.95% ( 0.09)	25.23% ( 0.01)	30.81% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 55.32% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.89% (

-0.1)

48.11% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.72% (

-0.09)

70.27% (

0.09)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.13% (

-0)

21.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.88% (

-0)

55.12% (

0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81% (

-0.11)

29.19% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.87% (

-0.14)

65.13% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Everton 43.95%

Brentford 30.81%

Draw 25.23%

Everton	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.95%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.81%