Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
| 60.57% ( | 20.34% ( | 19.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.87% ( | 37.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.68% ( | 59.32% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.09% ( | 11.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.76% ( | 37.24% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( | 32.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.59% ( | 69.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 3-1 @ 7% ( 3-0 @ 6.28% ( 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 4-1 @ 3.72% ( 4-0 @ 3.34% ( 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 5-0 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 4.23% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-3 @ 1.92% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 19.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 |
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 |
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 |
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 |
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 |
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 |
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