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FA Cup
Blackburn logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Newcastle logo

Blackburn
1 - 1
Newcastle

Szmodics (79')
Moran (18'), Chrisene (110'), Ayari (118')
FT
(aet)
Gordon (71')
Lascelles (103'), Longstaff (120+1')
Newcastle win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United edge out Blackburn Rovers on penalties following a 1-1 draw to advance to the FA Cup quarter-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Newcastle United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Newcastle
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%).

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawNewcastle United
34.44% (3.078 3.08) 22.74% (0.2 0.2) 42.81% (-3.282 -3.28)
Both teams to score 65.74% (0.544 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.91% (0.191 0.19)35.09% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.91% (0.21299999999999 0.21)57.09% (-0.218 -0.22)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (1.753 1.75)20.78% (-1.759 -1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (2.686 2.69)53.42% (-2.692 -2.69)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-1.178 -1.18)17.01% (1.173 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-2.123 -2.12)47.14% (2.117 2.12)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 34.44%
    Newcastle United 42.81%
    Draw 22.74%
Blackburn RoversDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.427 0.43)
1-0 @ 5.55% (0.235 0.23)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.401 0.4)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.422 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.243 0.24)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.317 0.32)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.239 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 34.44%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.85% (0.117 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.515 -0.52)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.402 -0.4)
2-3 @ 4.04% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.449 -0.45)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 42.81%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Newcastle

Blackburn Rovers
18.3%
Draw
13.9%
Newcastle United
67.8%
208
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7.30pm
Second Round
Newcastle
1-0
Blackburn
Fraser (35')
> Match Report
Jan 15, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Blackburn
2-4
Newcastle
Armstrong (33'), Lenihan (45')
Longstaff (1'), Roberts (22'), Joselu (105'), Perez (106')
Fernandez (90')
> Match Report
Jan 5, 2019 5.30pm
Third Round
Newcastle
1-1
Blackburn
Ritchie (84' pen.)
Ritchie (90')
Dack (56')
> Match Report
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Blackburn
1-0
Newcastle
Mulgrew (74')
Lowe (53')

Dummett (64'), Colback (73')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Newcastle
0-1
Blackburn

Hayden (83')
Mulgrew (75')
Conway (24'), Lowe (68'), Marshall (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014
> Premier League Full Table


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