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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Newcastle logo

Chelsea
3 - 2
Newcastle

Jackson (6'), Palmer (57'), Mudryk (76')
Sterling (39'), Petrovic (71'), Caicedo (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Isak (43'), Murphy (90')
White (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Cole Palmer stars as Chelsea strengthen their European hopes with a 3-2 Premier League win over Newcastle United.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Monday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Newcastle United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Monday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Newcastle United on Monday night.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Newcastle United

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Wolves
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.04%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 1-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawNewcastle United
56.04% (0.82 0.82) 21.11% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 22.85% (-0.758 -0.76)
Both teams to score 62.49% (-0.815 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.52% (-0.628 -0.63)35.48% (0.63399999999999 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.48% (-0.7 -0.7)57.52% (0.706 0.71)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.34% (0.033999999999992 0.03)12.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.17% (0.067999999999998 0.07)38.84% (-0.061 -0.06)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (-0.95699999999999 -0.96)28.45% (0.962 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79% (-1.221 -1.22)64.22% (1.227 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 56.04%
    Newcastle United 22.85%
    Draw 21.11%
ChelseaDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.69% (0.26 0.26)
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.243 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.185 0.19)
3-2 @ 4.19% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.098 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.042 0.04)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 56.04%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.11%
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 22.85%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Newcastle

Chelsea
42.2%
Draw
28.8%
Newcastle United
29.0%
393
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Chelsea
1-1
Newcastle
 Chelsea win 4-2 on penalties
Mudryk (90+2')
Caicedo (2'), Sterling (71'), Gallagher (90+4'), Mudryk (90+6')
Wilson (16')
Wilson (87'), Guimaraes (90+5')
> Match Report
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Newcastle
4-1
Chelsea
Isak (13'), Lascelles (60'), Joelinton (61'), Gordon (83')
Trippier (22'), Joelinton (45+3'), Lascelles (46'), Ritchie (90+2')
Sterling (23')
Ugochukwu (41'), James (55'), Sterling (59'), Cucurella (77'), Colwill (81')
James (73')
> Match Report
Jul 27, 2023 1.15am
Club Friendlies
Newcastle
1-1
Chelsea
Almiron (45')
Schar (20')
Jackson (12')
Gallagher (83')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Chelsea
1-1
Newcastle
Trippier (27' og.)
Gordon (9')
> Match Report
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Newcastle
1-0
Chelsea
Willock (67')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
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Scotland
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vs.
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Tuesday, July 9
 
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Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
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Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
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Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
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Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111
> European Championship 2024 overview


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