MX23RW : Monday, May 26 17:35:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 10
May 25, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Gent

Union SG
3 - 1
Gent

Ivanovic (11'), Akinpelu (68', 75')
Akinpelu (69'), Machida (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Gent, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Antwerp 0-4 Union SG
Saturday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 1-4 Genk
Sunday, May 18 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Union SG 3-1 Gent

Although the stakes are high ahead of this contest, it is clear that Union SG have been provided with the perfect last-day fixture. With that in mind, we are backing the leaders to be confirmed as league champions at the full-time whistle, albeit with Gent having remained competitive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 67.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Gent had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Gent win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Union SG in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union SG.

Result
Union SGDrawGent
67.13% (0.721 0.72) 19.56% (-0.326 -0.33) 13.3% (-0.399 -0.4)
Both teams to score 48.38% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.22% (0.536 0.54)44.78% (-0.54 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86% (0.515 0.52)67.14% (-0.51700000000001 -0.52)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (0.364 0.36)12.38% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.75% (0.76 0.76)38.25% (-0.762 -0.76)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.22% (-0.27099999999999 -0.27)44.78% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.24% (-0.218 -0.22)80.75% (0.21599999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 67.12%
    Gent 13.3%
    Draw 19.56%
Union SGDrawGent
2-0 @ 12.09% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.42% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.77% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.4% (0.143 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.84% (0.084 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 67.12%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.56%
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 13.3%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Gent
0-3
Union SG

Lopes (56')
Ait El Hadj (31'), Ivanovic (33'), Akinpelu (39')
Burgess (80')
Dec 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Gent
1-3
Union SG
Akinpelu (30'), Sykes (52'), Ait El Hadj (54')
Khalaili (60')
Oct 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Union SG
0-0
Gent
Burgess (47'), Akinpelu (88')
Ito (4'), Torunarigha (45+2'), Brown (67'), Gambor (90+5')
Mar 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Union SG
1-1
Gent
Castro-Montes (65')
El Amine Amoura (3'), Lapoussin (21'), Eckert (90+3')
Gerkens (53')
Torunarigha (49')
Nov 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Gent
1-1
Union SG
De Sart (45+3' pen.)
Fofana (43'), Kums (43')
Puertas (55')
El Amine Amoura (4'), Nilsson (66'), Lapoussin (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Relegation Round
1Union SGUnion SG402411571284342
2Club BruggeBrugge402410686424438
3Genk40256969442530
4Anderlecht401871562402223
5Royal AntwerpAntwerp401413135750721
6GentGent401212164565-2015
Relegation Round
1Sint-Truiden361011155066-1641
2Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge36912153957-1839
3KortrijkKortrijk36107194063-2337
4Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA3659223670-3424
Conference League Play-off Group
1CharleroiCharleroi401610145546940
2Westerlo401312156965433
3MechelenMechelen401214146257531
4Dender401112175372-1929
5Leuven40918133952-1327
6Standard Liege401016142743-1627
 
Regular Season
1Genk30215455332268
2Club BruggeBrugge30178565362959
3Union SGUnion SG301510549252455
4Anderlecht30156950272351
5Royal AntwerpAntwerp301210847321546
6GentGent30111274133845
7Standard Liege30109112235-1339
8MechelenMechelen30108124540538
9Westerlo30107135049137
10CharleroiCharleroi30107133636037
11Leuven3081392833-537
12Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge30711122944-1532
13Dender3088143351-1832
14Sint-Truiden30710134156-1531
15KortrijkKortrijk3075182855-2726
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA3039182660-3418


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