Toronto FC
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 25, 2025 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Nashville

Toronto
1 - 2
Nashville

Osorio (90+1', 90+1')
Bernardeschi (86'), Bernardeschi (86'), Thompson (90+2'), Thompson (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Surridge (57', 57', 89', 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 1-6 Toronto
Saturday, May 17 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 DC United
Sunday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawNashville SC
39.59% (0.067 0.07)25.72% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)34.69% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (0.058 0.06)49.11% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.053000000000001 0.05)71.18% (-0.050999999999988 -0.05)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.061999999999998 0.06)24.45% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (0.087999999999994 0.09)58.89% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)62.62% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 39.59%
    Nashville SC 34.69%
    Draw 25.71%
TorontoDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 39.59%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.69%

Head to Head
Jun 20, 2024 12.30am
Toronto
1-2
Nashville
Coello (34')
Flores (71'), Long (72')
Surridge (65', 90')
Williams (71')
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Nashville
2-0
Toronto
Moore (81'), Bunbury (90+1')
Yearwood (36'), Boyd (86')

Thompson (60')
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
Aug 7, 2022 1am
rhs 2.0


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