Major League Soccer

Jun 20, 2024 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 2
Nashville

Coello (34')
Flores (71'), Long (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Surridge (65', 90')
Williams (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-4 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Toronto 2-0 Nashville SC

The return of Bernardeschi and Insigne should provide a much-needed boost to the Toronto attack, which we believe will make them more dynamic in this encounter and turn their recent rough fortunes around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Nashville SC
43.5% ( 0.11)	25.41% ( -0.14)	31.09% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.24% (

0.61)

48.76% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.13% (

0.55)

70.87% (

-0.55)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.64% (

0.31)

22.36% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.15% (

0.46)

55.85% (

-0.46)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

0.32)

29.32% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.7% (

0.4)

65.3% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Toronto 43.5%

Nashville SC 31.09%

Draw 25.4%

Toronto	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.5%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.09%