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Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Nashville

Toronto
1 - 2
Nashville

Coello (34')
Flores (71'), Long (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Surridge (65', 90')
Williams (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 1-4 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-0 Nashville SC

The return of Bernardeschi and Insigne should provide a much-needed boost to the Toronto attack, which we believe will make them more dynamic in this encounter and turn their recent rough fortunes around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawNashville SC
43.5% (0.10899999999999 0.11) 25.41% (-0.137 -0.14) 31.09% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.87% (0.47 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24% (0.605 0.61)48.76% (-0.604 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (0.545 0.55)70.87% (-0.545 -0.55)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (0.31 0.31)22.36% (-0.31 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15% (0.463 0.46)55.85% (-0.464 -0.46)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (0.32300000000001 0.32)29.32% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (0.395 0.4)65.3% (-0.395 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 43.5%
    Nashville SC 31.09%
    Draw 25.4%
TorontoDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 31.09%

How you voted: Toronto vs Nashville

Toronto
66.7%
Draw
30.0%
Nashville SC
3.3%
30
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Nashville
2-0
Toronto
Moore (81'), Bunbury (90+1')
Yearwood (36'), Boyd (86')

Thompson (60')
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 33
Toronto
2-1
Nashville
Bradley (39')
Lovitz (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati138231815326
4New York City FCNY City147251815323
5Orlando City135622415921
6Nashville SCNashville136342215721
7Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire145452527-219
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13DC United133461325-1213
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta132471323-1010
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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