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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Toronto FC

Philadelphia
0 - 0
Toronto


Bedoya (25')
FT

Longstaff (87'), Spicer (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-4 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-2 Toronto

While the Union have been unusually poor at home this year, they will face a Toronto side yet to prove they can be consistently solid defensively, an area that Philly have improved upon in recent outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
60.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 21.15% (0.0040000000000013 0) 18.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 55.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)41.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.58% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)40.41% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.02%72.98%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 60.33%
    Toronto 18.52%
    Draw 21.15%
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7%
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 60.33%
1-1 @ 9.92% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.06%
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.52%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Toronto

Philadelphia Union
54.2%
Draw
29.2%
Toronto
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
3-1
Philadelphia
Insigne (23'), Kerr (58'), Osorio (63')
Ibarra (76'), Romero (87'), Insigne (90+3'), Vazquez (90+5')
Carranza (45')
Glesnes (90+1'), Andres Martinez (90+5'), Wagner (90+9')
Bueno (90+7')
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Philadelphia
4-0
Toronto
Gazdag (4', 60' pen., 63'), Uhre (42')
Apr 17, 2022 12.30am
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati148242019126
4New York City FCNY City147251815323
5Orlando City135622415921
6Nashville SCNashville136342215721
7Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire145452527-219
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471725-813
14DC United133461325-1213
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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