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Oct 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK at BMO Field
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41
Toronto
2 - 2
Philadelphia
Altidore (66'), Elliott (70' og.)
Mavinga (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bedoya (1'), Santos (77')
Andres Martinez (87')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawPhiladelphia Union
44.25%24.64%31.12%
Both teams to score 57.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64%45.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.3%67.7%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41%20.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87%53.14%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38%27.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85%63.15%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 44.25%
    Philadelphia Union 31.12%
    Draw 24.64%
TorontoDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.14%
1-0 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-1 @ 7.32%
0-2 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.12%

How you voted: Toronto vs Philadelphia

Toronto
6.3%
Draw
12.5%
Philadelphia Union
81.3%
16
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 21
Philadelphia
3-0
Toronto
Glesnes (12'), Gazdag (33' pen.), Santos (36')
Glesnes (26'), Wagner (47'), Mbaizo (90')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 21
Philadelphia
5-0
Toronto
Santos (27', 63', 68'), McKenzie (33'), Monteiro (55')
Monteiro (9'), Blake (64')

Auro (10'), Mullins (73')
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
Aug 15, 2020 11pm
Jul 12, 2020 12.30am
Content continues below the video

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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England9621158720
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96211210220
3Atlanta UnitedAtlanta95311813518
4New York City FCNY City94321210215
5Columbus Crew94231810814
6Nashville SCNashville933385312
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93241413111
8DC United93241113-211
9Orlando City8323810-211
10Chicago Fire82421212010
11Toronto91621213-19
12Charlotte FCCharlotte FC92341016-69
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls915369-38
14Inter MiamiInter Miami820669-36
15CF MontrealMontreal8206517-126

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City961221101119
2Seattle SoundersSeattle96121771019
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles85301661018
4Dallas94231211114
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes94231111014
6Houston DynamoHouston8413108213
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd832388011
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8242117410
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake83051017-79
10Portland TimbersPortland92251115-48
11Colorado RapidsColorado9153611-58
12Austin FCAustin8224612-68
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy8134712-56
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas9036313-103

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