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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 46.8% | 26.05% | 27.15% |
| Both teams to score 50.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% | 53.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% | 74.9% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% | 22.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.52% | 56.48% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% | 34.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.67% | 71.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.15% |
