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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 57.23% | 23.78% | 18.99% |
| Both teams to score 47.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% | 73.91% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% | 18.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.05% | 48.95% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.25% | 41.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.78% | 78.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 5.51% 4-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.03% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.41% Total : 57.22% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.58% 1-2 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.99% |
