Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match.
