Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Chicago Fire has a probability of 25.63% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win is 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.7%).