Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 27.26% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.73%).
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
49.47% (![]() | 23.28% (![]() | 27.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.58% (![]() | 41.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.18% (![]() | 63.82% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.08% (![]() | 16.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.02% (![]() | 46.98% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% (![]() | 28.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.02% (![]() | 63.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
2-1 @ 9.54% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 4.12% Total : 49.47% | 1-1 @ 10.73% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 6.78% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 25 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
5 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 20 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
8 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 18 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 17 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 16 |
12 | DC United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
13 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 21 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Dallas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
11 | St Louis City | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 3 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |