MX23RW : Friday, May 16 23:55:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City
Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Citi Field
New York Red Bulls

NY City
vs.
NY Red Bulls

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 0-0 NY City
Thursday, May 15 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

We say: New York City FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls

There is something about Citi Field that seems to bring out the best version of New York City, and we expect them to find a way through a Red Bulls side that lack structure and poise defensively away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 27.26% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.73%).

Result
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
49.47% (1.966 1.97) 23.28% (-0.443 -0.44) 27.26% (-1.528 -1.53)
Both teams to score 59.6% (0.337 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.58% (0.97900000000001 0.98)41.42% (-0.98200000000001 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.18% (0.984 0.98)63.82% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08% (1.123 1.12)16.92% (-1.127 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.02% (1.963 1.96)46.98% (-1.967 -1.97)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (-0.574 -0.57)28.26% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (-0.73 -0.73)63.98% (0.727 0.73)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 49.47%
    New York Red Bulls 27.26%
    Draw 23.27%
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.222 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.28 0.28)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.289 0.29)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.122 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.21 0.21)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.196 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 49.47%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.78% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.374 -0.37)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.302 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.26%

Who will win Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between NY City and NY Red Bulls?

New York City FC
Draw
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
New York Red Bulls
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 10.30pm
MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
NY City
0-2
NY Red Bulls

Sands (34'), O'Toole (39')
Carballo (16'), Vanzeir (25')
Edelman (28')
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-5
NY City
Vanzeir (28')
Reyes (14'), Schwarz (15'), Stroud (90+5')
Moralez (5'), Martinez (7', 45+5'), Perea (30'), Gray (67')
May 19, 2024 12.30am
NY City
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Wolf (3'), Bakrar (64')
Sands (32')
Harper (45+1')
Harper (25'), Amaya (66'), Nealis (67'), Tolkin (90'), Schwarz (90+2')
Nealis (90+3')
Sep 16, 2023 8.30pm
NY City
0-0
NY Red Bulls
Pellegrini (42'), Morales (63'), Sands (90+3')
Barlow (48'), Ndam (69'), Harper (90+7'), Tolkin (90+7')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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