Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.