Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.