Major League Soccer
Mar 29, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta4 - 3NY City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta
Saturday, March 22 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Saturday, March 22 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
6
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 NY City
Saturday, March 22 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Saturday, March 22 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
6
We said: Atlanta United 3-1 New York City FC
The Pigeons hung on by the skin of their teeth last week, but they might find it more difficult to contain an in-form striker like Latte Lath, and Almiron likely back in the fold as well. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
46.9% ( -0.53) | 23.46% ( 0.07) | 29.64% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 60.77% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
