Atlanta United 2-2 New York City FC - Major League Soccer - June 21, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

2 - 2

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Wolff (11'), Firmino (90+5')
Cobb (22'), Gutman (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pereira (1', 56')
Cufre (70'), Pellegrini (81'), Rodriguez (86')

The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.

The Match

Preview

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 3-1 DC United
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Columbus Crew
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Atlanta United 2-0 New York City FC

Morale is at an all-time low in New York City right now, and though there are some talented playmakers on that team, no one has stepped up and shown they can bury a clear-cut scoring opportunity. Atlanta may be a little susceptible defensively, but they have had no trouble finding the back of the net with 11 players notching at least one MLS goal in 2023, and taking on a team as fragile as NYCFC this week, we expect them to pounce on the opportunities presented to them.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a New York City FC win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	New York City FC
55.99% ( 1.82)	22.49% ( -0.48)	21.52% ( -1.34)

Both teams to score 55.68% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.41% (

0.56)

43.59% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.02% (

0.55)

65.98% (

-0.55)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.59% (

0.82)

15.41% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.77% (

1.51)

44.23% (

-1.51)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.82% (

-0.92)

34.18% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.13% (

-1)

70.87% (

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 55.99%

New York City FC 21.52%

Draw 22.49%

Atlanta United	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.99%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.14% Total : 21.52%

How you voted: Atlanta vs NY City

Atlanta United

77.3%

Draw

9.1%

New York City FC

13.6%

Head to Head

Apr 9, 2023 12.30am

1-1

Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm

1-2

Gutman (67')

Pereira (9'), Heber (60')

Jul 3, 2022 10pm

2-2

Castellanos (37', 58')
Chanot (18'), Rodriguez (24'), Magno (53'), Morales (71')

Martinez (56'), Dwyer (86')
McFadden (16'), Araujo (47')

Nov 21, 2021 8pm

2-0

Castellanos (49'), Callens (53')

Franco (43'), Moreno (81')
Franco (90+3')

Oct 21, 2021 12.30am

Gameweek 40

1-1

Moreno (17')

Thorarinsson (90')