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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
55.31% (![]() | 22.4% (![]() | 22.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.74% (![]() | 42.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.33% (![]() | 64.66% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.83% (![]() | 15.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.22% (![]() | 43.78% (![]() |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.27% (![]() | 32.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% | 69.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.36% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.79% Total : 55.31% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 5.51% 0-0 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 5.84% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.42% Total : 22.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 36 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 |
4 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
8 | DC United | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 20 |
9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 19 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 19 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 17 |
13 | Toronto | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 17 |
14 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 19 |
9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 16 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 12 |