Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
69.7% | 17.5% | 12.8% |
Both teams to score 54.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.62% | 36.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.48% | 58.52% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.61% | 9.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.41% | 31.59% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.84% | 40.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.2% | 76.8% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.92% 3-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 7.59% 4-0 @ 4.92% 4-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.46% 5-0 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 2.05% 5-2 @ 0.97% 6-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.42% Total : 69.7% | 1-1 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.39% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 3.71% 0-1 @ 3.44% 0-2 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.34% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.62% Total : 12.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 60 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 52 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 38 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 36 |
10 | Toronto | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 33 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 29 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 32 |
14 | DC United | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 60 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 52 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 38 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 36 |
10 | Toronto | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 33 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 29 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 32 |
14 | DC United | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 26 |