Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.