Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.